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71.
本文提出了一种基于散射计风场数据的台风定强方法。该方法定义了台风所在海区的一个圆形区域上的风速平均值来对台风进行定强,并使用海洋二号卫星散射计历史数据对该方法进行了验证。验证结果表明,该台风定强方法可以克服散射计反演台风风速过低的问题。与台风强度监测的历史记录比较的结果显示,在台风强度低于"强台风"这一强度等级时,该方法能够有效估算台风强度。  相似文献   
72.
南海土台风,是在南海局地形成的热带气旋的统称。本文选用1949—2014年CMA-STI 整编的“热带气旋最佳路径数据集”,对研究区域范围(5°~22.5°N、105°~120.5°E)的南海土台风强度及强度变化特征进行了探讨。结果表明:(1)南海土台风强度随时间的变化曲线呈近似对称的“漏斗状”,即强度从弱—强—弱的变化,在最大强度前后6 h时域内强度变化最显著,夏季台风强度变化比冬季快。(2)土台风强度存在1个增强中心,位于海南岛以东的南海北部近海区域,在中国华南沿岸陆区则减弱明显;台风增强/减弱区域随着季节变化而南北移动,夏季主要在北部近海/近岸区域18°~23°N附近,冬季随台风活动南移至10~18°N附近靠近西部近海/近岸区域,且冬季的平均减弱速率较夏季大。(3)东向移动的土台风最大强度一般比西向移动的强,其中夏季东移台风平均强度最大,冬季西移台风强度最小;夏季东移台风最大强度前后强度变化最快,冬季西移台风变化最慢;夏季西移台风强度分布呈北强南弱、东移台风强度呈东北向带状分布,冬季东、西移台风强度分布皆呈西强东弱,这种空间分布差异,主要是台风移动路径随季节变化而形成的。(4)海上活动时间的长短与台风最大强度的大小、变化幅度成正比。海上活动时间较短的台风,以西行路径为主,强度的分布较均匀,平均强度较弱,增强/减弱中心较多而小,增强/减弱速率较慢;反之,海上活动时间较长的台风,以东行路径居多,强度的分布呈多中心状,平均强度较强,增强/减弱中心较集中且广阔,增强/减弱速率较快。  相似文献   
73.
台湾以东黑潮路径识别与变化规律   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
为研究对中国台湾以东海域黑潮路径及其变化,本文基于法国空间局AVISO中心提供的1993—2015年的卫星遥感海表流场逐日资料,对121°—125°E,22.4°—25°N海域黑潮路径进行了逐日识别,得到了共计23年累计8400天的台湾以东黑潮流轴的逐日路径,并研究其在不同纬度的流轴位置及其对应的表面黑潮流量的时空变化规律。主要结论如下:(1)采用模糊C-均值聚类法对台湾以东黑潮流轴路径进行聚类分析,发现台湾以东黑潮流轴在24°N以南出现明显摆动,形成正常和偏东两种路径;黑潮流轴存在明显的时间变化,流轴偏东现象年平均大约出现25次,大致每隔3年出现一次偏东较少的现象,各月流轴偏东次数以4、5月最少,10月至次年3月较多;(2)台湾以东黑潮表面流量大小在6.2—8.3×104m2/s之间;总体上来说,纬度越高流量越大,在23.5°N左右范围内存在一个流量低值中心;在24.3°N以北流量总体较大,且增长趋势稳定,同时表面流量大小具有较强的季节和年际变化特征。  相似文献   
74.
Based on the cost-income data of agricultural products and relevant statistical data, taking major grain crops and economic crops in the process of cultivated land use as study cases, we studied characteristics of the temporal variation of cultivated land use intensity and its composition in Shandong Province from 1980 to 2015, and then analyzed its main driving factors. The results showed that: (1) The total intensity of major crops in Shandong Province showed a rising trend from 919.73 Yuan ha-1 in 1980 to 3285.06 Yuan ha-1 in 2015, and the average annual intensity of economic crops was higher than that of grain crops. The labor cost and material cost of major crops both showed an increasing trend, but the material input was much higher than labor input for grain crops, while the labor input was much higher than material input for economic crops. (2) The labor intensity of major crops in Shandong Province showed a decreasing trend from 501.75 man-day ha-1 in 1980 to 161.93 man-day ha-1 in 2015. The labor intensity of grain crops was lower than that of economic crops and its decline rate was fast. On the contrary, the capital intensity showed an increasing trend from 518.33 Yuan ha-1 in 1980 to 1159.95 Yuan ha-1 in 2015. In the internal composition of capital intensity, the proportion of yield-increasing inputs such as seed, farmyard manure, fertilizer, pesticide and drainage and irrigation decreased gradually, while the proportion of labor-saving inputs such as agricultural machinery increased significantly. (3) The cultivated land use intensity in Shandong Province had significant negative correlations with the amount of agricultural labor and cultivated land area per capita. The primary direct driving factor was the net income per unit cost of major crops, but the time response lagged by 1-3 years. The main indirect driving factor was the reform of agricultural policy.  相似文献   
75.
Near-surface remote sensing (e.g., digital cameras) has played an important role in capturing plant phenological metrics at either a focal or landscape scale. Exploring the relationship of the digital image-based greenness index (e.g., Gcc, green chromatic coordinate) with that derived from satellites is critical for land surface process research. Moreover, our understanding of how well Gcc time series associate with environmental variables at field stations in North American prairies remains limited. This paper investigated the response of grass Gcc to daily environmental factors in 2018, such as soil moisture (temperature), air temperature, and solar radiation. Thereafter, using a derivative-based phenology extraction method, we evaluated the correspondence between key phenological events (mainly including start, end and length of growing season, and date with maximum greenness value) derived from Gcc, MODIS and VIIRS NDVI (EVI) for the period 2015-2018. The results showed that daily Gcc was in good agreement with ground-level environmental variables. Additionally, multivariate regression analysis identified that the grass growth in the study area was mainly affected by soil temperature and solar radiation, but not by air temperature. High frequency Gcc time series can respond immediately to precipitation events. In the same year, the phenological metrics retrieved from digital cameras and multiple satellites are similar, with spring phenology having a larger relative difference. There are distinct divergences between changing rates in the greenup and senescence stages. Gcc also shows a close relationship with growing degree days (GDD) derived from air temperature. This study evaluated the performance of a digital camera for monitoring vegetation phenological metrics and related climatic factors. This research will enable multiscale modeling of plant phenology and grassland resource management of temperate prairie ecosystems.  相似文献   
76.
胡志强  苗长虹  袁丰 《地理学报》2019,74(10):2045-2061
集聚外部性是集聚影响工业污染排放的重要机制,不同的集聚空间组织型式具有不同的污染排放行为和减排效果。以中国285个地市工业SO2排放为例,依据集聚经济理论,将集聚空间组织型式细分为集聚密度、企业地理临近度、专业化、多样性、相关多样性、非相关多样性等不同类型,在系统分析工业SO2排放与集聚空间格局的基础上,通过构建计量经济模型,考察了不同集聚空间组织型式对工业SO2排放强度的影响。结果表明:① 工业SO2排放强度与工业集聚密度在空间上具有非对称性,污染排放强度西高东低,工业集聚密度、企业地理临近、多样性、相关和非相关多样性为东中高西部低;② 工业集聚对工业SO2排放强度的影响存在空间溢出效应,相邻地区集聚密度、多样性和相关多样性水平的上升有利于本区域工业污染排放强度的下降,但专业化水平的上升则会提升本区域的工业污染排放强度;③ 提高集聚密度、引导企业集中布局有利于工业SO2排放强度下降,多样且关联的产业组织结构有利于污染减排,而专业化和非关联产业的集中会提高污染排放强度;④ 集聚型式对工业SO2排放强度的影响存在区域和城市规模上的异质性,集聚密度、企业地理临近、多样性和相关多样性对中西部污染减排的作用比东部明显,专业化和非相关多样性不利于东中部地区的污染减排;城区人口规模20万以下的小城市提高集聚密度、减少多样性特别是非相关多样性更有利于污染减排;城区人口规模20~50万的小城市和50~100万的中等城市,提高企业的地理接近度和多样性水平特别是相关多样性水平,有利于其降低污染排放强度;城区人口规模在100万以上的大城市,提高集聚密度和产业多样性水平在一定程度上有利于其污染减排,但其减排效果因拥挤效应而明显下降;⑤ 进一步降低工业SO2排放强度,需要走集聚化道路,坚持提高集聚密度,因地制宜引导企业集中布局,着力提高产业在关联基础上的多样性水平,加强区域间联防联控,重视区域间的产业联系与环保合作。  相似文献   
77.
利用巴丹吉林沙漠北缘拐子湖流沙下垫面2013年7、10月和2014年1、4月的湍流通量资料,计算并分析了研究区近地层湍流强度,同时针对风速分量、温度、水汽和CO2归一化标准差随稳定度的变化关系和总体输送系数等陆面过程特征进行分析。结果表明:(1)风速各分量的湍流强度均随风速的增加逐渐减小,风速处于2 m·s-1以下时湍流发展最为旺盛。湍流强度主要由水平方向风速分量决定,垂直方向风速的作用较小,且近中性和不稳定层结利于湍流的发展。与其他地区相比,平坦且没有建筑物的沙漠地区,机械湍流较弱,湍流强度相应较小。(2)风速各分量的归一化标准差与稳定度(z/L)均满足1/3次方函数规律,其中垂直方向风速分量的拟合曲线方程较好。(3)动量输送系数Cd具有明显的夏季高、冬季低的变化状态且各月的日变化形态均呈夜间低、日间高的循环形态。热量输送系数Ch的不同月份日变化间并没有明显的排列次序,且日出日落前后具有明显的波动。不稳定层结时,CdCh均随风速的增加逐渐减小;稳定层结时,CdCh均随着风速的增加逐渐上升。  相似文献   
78.
This paper presents a single‐domain boundary element method (BEM) for linear elastic fracture mechanics analysis in the two‐dimensional anisotropic material. In this formulation, the displacement integral equation is collocated on the un‐cracked boundary only, and the traction integral equation is collocated on one side of the crack surface only. A special crack‐tip element was introduced to capture exactly the crack‐tip behavior. A computer program with the FORTRAN language has been developed to effectively calculate the stress intensity factors of an anisotropic material. This BEM program has been verified having a good accuracy with the previous researches. Furthermore, by analyzing the different anisotropic degree cracks in a finite plate, we found that the stress intensity factors of crack tips had apparent influence by the geometry forms of cracks and media with different anisotropic degrees. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   
79.
The soil conservation service (now Natural Resources Conservation Service) Curve Number (SCS-CN), one of the most commonly used methods for surface runoff prediction. The runoff calculated by this method was very sensitive to CN values. In this study, CN values were calculated by both arithmetic mean (CN_C) and least square fit method (CN_F) using observed rainfall-runoff data from 43 sites in the Loess Plateau region, which are considerably different from the CN2 values obtained from the USDA-SCS handbook table (CN_T). The results showed that using CN_C instead of CN_T for each watershed produce little improvement, while replacing CN_T with CN_F improves the performance of the original SCS-CN method, but still performs poorly in most study sites. This is mainly due to the SCS-CN method using a constant CN value and discounting of the temporal variation in rainfall-runoff process. Therefore, three factors—soil moisture, rainfall depth and intensity—affecting the surface runoff variability are considered to reflect the variation of CN in each watershed, and a new CN value was developed. The reliability of the proposed method was tested with data from 38 watersheds, and then applied to the remaining five typical watersheds using the optimized parameters. The results indicated that the proposed method, which boosted the model efficiencies to 81.83% and 74.23% during calibration and validation cases, respectively, performed better than the original SCS-CN and the Shi and Wang (2020b) method, a modified SCS-CN method based on tabulated CN value. Thus, the proposed method incorporating the influence of the temporal variability of soil moisture, rainfall depth, and intensity factors suggests an accurate runoff prediction for general applications under different hydrological and climatic conditions on the Loess Plateau region.  相似文献   
80.
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